Charles E. Roop giving his own forecasts, weather discussions, photos and adventures for the Starkville, MS area, Florida, and beyond.

Friday, February 10, 2012


I'm a Florida native, and this is cold to me. We are not expecting a massive, record-breaking arctic outbreak, but it seems to have been a while since it's been this cold.

Currently, there's a upper-level trough over the southern Great Plains with a noticeable jet streak over the western and central gulf coast, based on the latest RUC run. At the surface, HPC surface analysis shows a low pressure system with an associated cold front over Texas with another front further north. This second front will help chill things out. The aforementioned jet streak will help create lift and bring some rain to the gulf region, but keep Starkville with low POPs.

12Z (7 AM EST) surface analysis (via HPC)

During the next 18 hours, the fronts will pass though the area. The NAM has winds switching out of the north late tonight and picking up speed. The raw NAM has winds at roughly 15 knots across northern Mississippi and Alabama Saturday morning. At this point, the cold air advection will make me be it's (censored) as temps expect to dip near 20 Saturday night. The high Saturday will be hovering around 40, according to guidance. With winds around 15 knots, wind chills can be very high. The winds will die down a bit Saturday night, but any wind at all will make it feel like it's around 10.

If you are going to be out and about this weekend, plan and dress accordingly.

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