Now on to what's happening in the weather...
The Storm Prediction Center has placed parts of northwestern Mississippi under a slight risk of severe weather through 12Z Monday (6 am CST) and most of Mississippi under a slight risk after 12Z Monday. Points northwest and then northeast of Mississippi will be under a moderate risk.
Current analysis indicates a surface high off Florida's east coast. A southerly flow is taking place over the gulf states with dewpoints mostly in the 60s. A surface low is also located over the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles (see below). There are very strong winds over Texas with some reports of gusts over 60 mph. Upper air observations at 700, 500 and 300 mb show a trough over the southwestern United States.
|Source: College of DuPage|
The trough is expected to push towards the east and then northeast along with the low. Through the night and Monday morning, a deep south to south-southwesterly flow at 850 mb and veering with height to be at almost out of the west over northern Mississippi. The shear could be somewhat decent and instability could be a a tad better with the possibility of CAPE being at least 500 J/kg based on the NAM.
I'll have to wait until the morning to see how things pan out. For now, keep an eye on the skies in Starkville Monday morning. Stay tuned.