Daweathablog

Charles E. Roop giving his own forecasts, weather discussions, photos and adventures for the Starkville, MS area, Florida, and beyond.

Sunday, January 16, 2011

Starkville: IT'S GON' RAIN!

Good Sunday, everyone. I know, I know. It's been nearly three months since my last weather blog post. The end of last semester was busy and very stressful. I'm going to try my best to make updates from here on out - but I can't make any guarantees.

My first piece of weather info I looked at this morning was all the green displayed on the regional radar imagery. Parts of Arkansas, Texas, and Louisiana are encountering moderate to heavy rain. This will make its way to The Golden Triangle area this afternoon.

Upper-air models are showing a shortwave trough over the Texas area that will progress west over the next day. Current observations and models are showing surface and 850-mb moisture levels increasing in Mississippi and points west. Infrared satellite imagery is showing what looks to be a baroclinic leaf, hinting the early stages of the developing low over eastern Texas.

As this storm continues to brew today, rainfall will start to move into the Starkville area and persist through the night. The 500-mb NAM and GFS are in good agreement of the shortwave trough's placement over Louisiana at 7 AM CST (12Z) Monday. Rain should start to taper off as the day progresses.

Rainfall doesn't seem that impressive according to the two-day HPC QPFs with only showing under a half-inch of precip for the area.

I hope to be back on the blog for a short update sometime Tuesday. Stay tuned.

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