Charles E. Roop giving his own forecasts, weather discussions, photos and adventures for the Starkville, MS area, Florida, and beyond.

Wednesday, September 29, 2010

Quick Update on TD 16

This morning, Tropical Depression 16 is, well, still Tropical Depression 16. It has not intensified since the last blog post and I'm not 100 percent sure if it will before the center of circulation impacts south Florida later today.

The center of circulation is over Cuba at the moment and is expected to move back over the waters later this morning or early afternoon. NHC forecasts have the center hitting south Florida and the upper Keys by this evening. It's then expected to cross southeast Florida and exit over the Atlantic early Thursday morning.

Wind shear is pretty high as the trough and the surface front still hangs nearby. This should keep the cyclone from intensifying too much, if at all.

Impacts from this system are relatively mild as inland flooding is the main concern. Doppler radar storm total estimates show rainfall at 5 or more inches for portions of southeast Florida and the Keys, with some spots picking up as much as 7 inches.

Stay dry, south Florida.

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