Daweathablog

Charles E. Roop giving his own forecasts, weather discussions, photos and adventures for the Starkville, MS area, Florida, and beyond.

Friday, February 12, 2010

Snow Looking Less Likely

Things seem to have changed in the last few hours. There was a slim possibility that parts of northeast Florida could see winter precip tonight. Now, it doesn't seem likely at all according to the NWS in Jacksonville:
WARM LAYER ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL LIKELY KEEP PRECIP ALL RAIN IN
FLORIDA. BY THE TIME THE PROFILE OVER FLORIDA BECOMES COLD ENOUGH
TO SUPPORT SNOW...THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE
STRIPPED AWAY AND LACK OF ICE NUCLEATION WILL KEEP ANY PRECIP THAT
FALLS AROUND MIDNIGHT IN THE FORM OF LIGHT DRIZZLE. TEMPS SHOULD
REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING DURING THIS TIMEFRAME SO FREEZING DRIZZLE IS
NOT A CONCERN.
Also, from looking at radar, it seems the storm system is moving out a little faster than forecasts from yesterday revealed. The "back-side" precip is now passing over Gainesville. When this rain moves out, temperatures will still be above freezing and, therefore, winter precip is not likely.


Image source: WeatherTap.com

Expect the rain to taper off later this evening with drizzle possible later on. NWS-JAX issued a wind chill advisory for the area from 3 a.m. to 9 a.m. Saturday - which means wind chills in the low to mid 20s are likely. NWS-JAX is calling for a low of 31 tonight in Gainesville. Stay warm.

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