Today's forecast is for the metro area of Lexington, where the University of Kentucky will play the Florida Gators this evening.
Above is the latest surface analysis from the HPC. Over eastern Kentucky, a low pressure system that has dumped lots of rain and has put the metro area under a flash flood warning will slowly be moving east over time. This may sound like good news, but a closed upper low, which models show "opening up" to a upper trough tonight, will bring cooler air aloft. NWS in Louisville notes this could bring more instability and keep rain chances at a decent level this evening around kickoff. However, by later tonight, drier air should filter in and improve conditions.
Throughout the day, rain chances should remain high. At kickoff (6 PM EDT), there should be a good chance of rain with skies clearing out by midnight.
I am calling for a high near 74 in LEX with a temp at kickoff near 70.
Enjoy the game and stay dry. Go Gators!
UPDATE (10:30 AM EDT): Flash Flood Warning has been downgraded to a Flood Advisory by NWS-LMK. However, a Flash Flood Watch does remain in effect for the Lexington metro area.