Daweathablog

Charles E. Roop giving his own forecasts, weather discussions, photos and adventures for the Starkville, MS area, Florida, and beyond.

Thursday, September 24, 2009

Dude, Where's My Cooler Weather?

Okay, summer is over as Tuesday as we move to the autumn equinox here in the northern hemisphere. It's time for things to cool down...

...

*ahem*

...

...waiting.

However, our luck might change next week.

Currently, an mid-level ridge to the north is bringing in a ENE flow to the area. This dry air aloft will help keep rain chances low until at least Saturday. HPC surface forecasts show a backdoor front approaching the area and stalling out north of Jacksonville on Saturday. Also, as the high shifts, a west-southwest flow should aid in the increase of moisture. At least for the weekend, there could be as much as a 50-50 chance of rain.

At the beginning of the work week, HPC surface forecasts show a front passing through on Tuesday after a weaker front stalls near the area. Plus, jet stream forecasts show a trough dipping as far south as North Carolina during the same time period. This setup should (hopefully) bring some cooler and drier weather to North Central Florida.

GFSX guidance is calling for temps Wednesday and Thursday mornings to be around 60 with highs in the low 80s. It's just one model and it's five days away, so we'll wait and see. However, things look promising for a much-needed cool down in the Gainesville area.

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