Charles E. Roop giving his own forecasts, weather discussions, photos and adventures for the Starkville, MS area, Florida, and beyond.

Friday, August 28, 2009

Forecast for Today (Fri 08.28.2009)

I didn't get the chance to do a forecast last night, but I can give you an idea of what the weather should be like for the rest of today.

Radar sites show a line of showers and thunderstorms (see SE radar composite) moving ENE while other storms form south of that line. This appears to be wrapped around a upper-level low to the north. Once this rain passes later, conditions should improve with only a slight chance of a strong isolated storm. For now, the line of storms could impact the area late this morning or early afternoon.

For the rest of the day, a good chance of storms by mid afternoon, with only a slight chance of rain and t-storms later. Expect a high near 90.

I have classes during a three-hour block in the middle of the day. I'll post any updates on Twitter when possible.

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Forecast for Thursday 08.27.2009

Today, instability and upper-level influences aided in producing rainfall for much of north Florida. Most of the heaviest rain seemed to have went north or south of Titletown based on radar imagery from this afternoon.

Thursday should be more of the same. NWS-JAX notes a closed upper low should hang around the lower Mississippi valley for the next day. With daytime heating and a moist atmosphere, instability with enable a good chance of rain for tomorrow. NWS-JAX is calling for a 70 percent shot of rain for Gainesville.

For tonight, partly cloudy skies with a low near 70. Thursday, partly cloudy with a good chance of showers and storms. Expect a high near 88.

Monday, August 24, 2009

Forecast for Tuesday 08.25.2009

Good evening! Today's weather in Gainesville was a little different. It was hot, but not as bad as it could be in a typical Florida afternoon. The passage of the cold front yesterday helped keep things fairly dry over the North Central Florida area.

It seems that the front that has passed us is stationary over Central Florida (from just north of Cape Canaveral southwest to Bradenton). However, according to NWS-JAX, the building ridge will help force the front back towards the north and increase moisture and, therefore, rain chances Tuesday. NWS-JAX is noting a tropical wave approaching the area on Wednesday, but rain chances don't seem to reflect much of an impact. Will keep an eye on it. Still, Tuesday seems to possibly be a wet day as NWS-JAX has the rain chances for the area at 70 percent.

For tonight, partly cloudy with a low near 71. Tuesday, partly cloudy with a good chance of showers and thunderstorms. Expect a high near 89.

Sunday, August 23, 2009

Forecast for Monday 08.24.2009

I know, I know, it has been a while since my last forecast. Okay, a long while. I've been neglectful towards this blog. Now, I have a desire to make sure I do my forecasts for the Gainesville, Fla. area on a more frequent basis. I know I am not going to be able to do one every night, but I should be able to do one as much as possible. And the new school year at UF is a great way to start it.

Currently, a rare summer cold front (which helped steer Hurricane Bill away from the United States) has pushed south over the area. The 8 p.m. EDT (0 Z) surface analysis shows the front boundary draped from Daytona Beach southwest to near Sarasota. Dewpoints in the area have dropped to the 60s, which makes the outdoors feel much more comfortable. It's already 73 degrees at Gainesville Regional Airport and temps could get lower tonight.

The warm, less moist trend should continue tomorrow with NWS-JAX only calling for a 10 percent chance of rain. Things might change come Tuesday as normal conditions resume (more on that Monday night).

For tonight, mostly clear skies with a morning low near 66. On Monday, expect partly cloudy skies with a high near 91.

It's good to be back forecasting. Catch you Monday night. Spread the word!