Daweathablog

Charles E. Roop giving his own forecasts, weather discussions, photos and adventures for the Starkville, MS area, Florida, and beyond.

Friday, July 17, 2009

Forecast for Saturday 07.18.2009

It was a dry Friday for Gainesville. Most of the rain remained either to the south or north of the area. However, things may change on Saturday.

The front that is to our north is expected to inch its way south and stall just to the north of the Georgia-Florida border. This will amplify rain chances for the Gainesville area on Saturday.

What is not 100 percent certain is the timing of the rain - will it come in the morning or later in the afternoon? If the rain arrives in the afternoon, this will affect the intensity of any storms due to daytime heating in the equation. Also, I am not seeing any visual clues of any small mid to upper disturbances (i.e. shortwave troughs, etc) in the model guidance on Saturday. So, for now, it's a wait-and-see game.

Currently, there are some showers and small embedded storms moving west in north Florida and in the Gulf of Mexico. There is a slight chance tonight that Gainesville could see a shower or two before dawn.

For tonight, partly cloudy with a possible stray shower before dawn and a morning low near 75. Saturday, expect partly cloudy skies with a good chance of showers and storms and a high near 89.

I'll try to post updates when possible on Twitter and, if necessary, on the blog.

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