Daweathablog

Charles E. Roop giving his own forecasts, weather discussions, photos and adventures for the Starkville, MS area, Florida, and beyond.

Sunday, July 26, 2009

Forecast for Monday 07.27.2009

It's good to be back forecasting after a week of being out of town for part of it and being sick for nearly six days.

The National Weather Service in Jacksonville (NWS-JAX) notices a shortwave though in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico moving towards the east. With high enough moisture content at the surface and aloft, this aid in spawning a few showers tonight, but a very low chance.

For Monday, there seems to be very little synoptic influence; therefore, a light southwest flow and east and west coast seabreezes will help develop afternoon showers and storms. NWS-JAX is forecasting a 70 percent chance of rain for the Gainesville area. NAM model guidance is aggressive with the amount of precip tomorrow evening while the GFS is toned down.

Tonight, partly cloudy skies with a slight chance of rain and a morning low near 71. On Wednesday, expect partly cloudy skies with a good chance of showers and storms. I'll call for a high near 89.

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