Daweathablog

Charles E. Roop giving his own forecasts, weather discussions, photos and adventures for the Starkville, MS area, Florida, and beyond.

Sunday, June 21, 2009

Forecast for Monday 06.22.2009

It was three degrees lower than I thought it would be in Gainesville today. I guess it's good that it didn't get that hot, but bad that my forecast was blown by three degrees.

I just took a walk outside and was baffled at the muggy "grossness" of the outdoors. It's 84 degrees at my apartment in southwest Gainesville and it's 11:30 p.m. It's probably a little worse in Tampa: Just saw a graphic on The Weather Channel showing the current dewpoint of 80 degrees in the Tampa Bay area.

Things might be slightly better Monday. NWS-JAX believes that heat indicies will not meet or exceed 110 degrees. "Shortwave energy," a trough and the sea breeze will slightly enhance the chances of rain for the Gainesville area Monday. However, it seems most of the energy and potential for severe weather remains south over central and southern Florida as the Storm Prediction Center placed the area under a slight risk. Also, the ridge that has been keeping our area hot and relatively dry is expected to move west over the next few days. This should lower the temps a little and bring rain chances back to near normal levels. The NWS has placed a 30 percent chance of rain for Gainesville on Monday.

For tonight, partly cloudy skies with a morning low of 76. For Monday, hot, but not as hot, with a chance of a shower or storm. I expect a high near 96.

Keep an eye on my Twitter feed for the latest noteworthy observations and weather updates (twitter.com/daweathaman).

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