Daweathablog

Charles E. Roop giving his own forecasts, weather discussions, photos and adventures for the Starkville, MS area, Florida, and beyond.

Monday, May 11, 2009

Forecast for Tuesday 05.12.2009

Sorry for the long forecast hiatus. Being real busy plus being on a cruise kept me away from making forecasts. Now, I want to get back into the swing of things.

A front that is to our north is expected be across the Gainesville area sometime Tuesday morning. NWS-JAX and HPC surface forecasts are calling for the front to stall and raise the instability a bit to spawn showers and a few storms. The SPC is not calling for severe threats for the state since there is expected to be little or no shear, but isolated severe hail and wind from stronger cells is a possibility.

The rain is slowly starting to come back to the state. South Florida had a few isolated cells with at least one triggering severe thunderstorm warnings. Some storms were off to the east of Gainesville today.

For tonight, expect partly cloudy skies with a morning low of around 68. During the day, there is a chance of a shower or storm as the front nears and as daytime heating helps fire things up. The high should be around 85. It shouldn't be as hot as it has been for the last few days.

The front is expected to push through Wednesday as the high builds. However, there will be slight chances of rain now that we are starting to enter the typical summer pattern in Florida.

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