Daweathablog

Charles E. Roop giving his own forecasts, weather discussions, photos and adventures for the Starkville, MS area, Florida, and beyond.

Wednesday, May 27, 2009

Forecast for Thursday 05.28.2009

So, it didn't rain today in our area. That bombed my forecast. A wake of a mid-level shortwave aided in lowering rain coverage in north Florida according to a SPC convective outlook from the afternoon.

Right now, skies remain mostly clear over the Gainesville area. Tomorrow, here's what the NWS-JAX forecast discussion calls:
THE BIGGEST CHANGES INTO THU WILL BE THE INCREASED GRADIENT WHICH MAY PREVENT SEABREEZE ACTIVITY AT ALL ALONG THE EAST COAST AND THE INCREASED SHORTWAVE ACTIVITY AS LARGER SCALE TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD. OVERALL...WITH LOW LCL`S [lifting condensation level] CONTINUING AND 500 TEMPS WARMING EVER SO SLIGHTLY...WE SHOULD SEE A DAY TYPICAL OF TODAY WITH ACTIVITY FORMING EARLY BUT PERHAPS NOT AS STRONG UNTIL LATE IN THE EVENING SHOULD ANY SEABREEZE FORM ALONG THE [east] COAST.
So...expect some of the same weather as today for Thurdsday. We might see some storms, but don't look for anything crazy until, maybe, in the afternoon. Whether this will affect Gainesville remains to be seen.

Tonight, expect clearer skies with a morning low of 69. The temp at KGNV as of 10 p.m. was 75. It's a little warm, but the clearer skies could aid in some radiational cooling, but it also depends on the amount of moisture in the air tonight (dewpoint was at 71). I won't expect a major cooldown. Thursday, skies should be partly sunny in the morning with a chance of showers and storms. Expect a high of 86.

Keep any eye on my Twitter updates (on the right sidebar) for some of the latest weather updates troughout the day Thursday.

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