Daweathablog

Charles E. Roop giving his own forecasts, weather discussions, photos and adventures for the Starkville, MS area, Florida, and beyond.

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Forcast for Wednesday 05.13.2009

The front that I mentioned last night is currently stationary over north Florida. However, for Wednesday, this frontal boundary is expected to remain over the area as well as a moist onshore flow according to the latest NWS-JAX forecast discussion. Conditions will remain favorable for scattered showers and thunderstorms. Weak mid to upper-level flow could keep any storms moving slow to a crawl which could create a flooding risk with heavy rain.

For tonight, expect mostly cloudy skies with a very slight chance of a shower. The morning low should be around 67. For Wednesday, it looks like partly to mostly cloudy skies will persist with a high of 84. NWS-JAX is calling for a 50 percent rain chance in Alachua County while AccuWeather predicts a 40 percent chance.

Rain was possible today, but none hit the Gainesville area so far. A factor was the abundant cloud cover that prevented any daytime heating and, in turn, instability. The severity of any weather (or weather at all) will depend on this factor again Wednesday.

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