Daweathablog

Charles E. Roop giving his own forecasts, weather discussions, photos and adventures for the Starkville, MS area, Florida, and beyond.

Sunday, April 19, 2009

Forecast for Monday 04.20.2009

After a two-day hiatus, I am ready to forecast the weather. Currently, a system over Mississippi with an associated cold front will move towards the east overnight and approach the Gainesville area during Monday. Not much is showing up on radar over the southeast except north of the latitude of Macon, Ga. The NWS is calling for a 30 percent chance of storms tonight, but I think it could be less since I am not seeing any reason for heavy showers to form tonight. That could change tomorrow as the front gets closer. The HPC forecasts don't have the front passing the area until sometime after 8 p.m. Monday.

For tonight, I expect mostly cloudy skies with a morning low of around 65. The guidance output for GNV has the lows in the lower 60s, but I think the earlier-than-expected cloudcover will help keep things a little warmer tonight. There might be a stray shower overnight. For Monday, I expect a good chance of showers and a possible thunderstorm. However, there isn't enough dynamics to warrant a severe weather risk. Expect a high of 78.

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