Daweathablog

Charles E. Roop giving his own forecasts, weather discussions, photos and adventures for the Starkville, MS area, Florida, and beyond.

Wednesday, April 8, 2009

First Forecast, Post - 04/08/2009

Good evening! This is a new thing I am trying out, so hopefully it works. This is strictly a weather forecast blog for the Gainesville, Fla. area. Every evening or morning, expect a post here with my weather forecast for the next 24 hours with possible insight into beyond day one. This will keep you informed on what to expect and keep my forecasting skills as sharp as possible. During severe weather situations, check my main blog (http://daweathamanroop.wordpress.com) for more details and the latest with possible photos. So, here we go!

High pressure is currently influencing our weather in north central Florida, which is keeping our weather fairly nice this evening. Winds are mostly out of the south and southwest across the southeast, which will allow temperatures to warm for the next few days. High pressure is expected to move to the east tomorrow and keep the southerly flow.

So far, the GFS and NAM models are warmer than the actual temperature at 8 p.m. in GNV, and predicting a low of 45 and 47 respectively. I am wondering if the model predictions would be blown because of the early cool down. Still, I expect temperatures to be warmer than this morning's record low of 34 in Gainesville. I'll call for a Thursday morning low of 44 with fair skies thinking that the rise in dew points and light breeze will help keep the radiational cooling in check. The sun will be out Thursday with little cloud cover and a high of 80. For the next few days, I do not see drastic changes in the forecast. However, there could be a chance for showers and storms Monday and Tuesday as a cold front and upper-level trough is expected to move into the area according to the latest NWS-JAX forecast discussion.

Check back tomorrow evening for the next forecast. I'll try to post these up by 11 p.m.

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